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差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别?

ZEAL TECHNOLOGY

Zeal Capital Zeal Capital Market(Seychelles)Limited 是一家专注于向机构及零售投资者提供外汇、大宗商品、指数、股票等多元资产交易服务的金融机构,其经纪业务主要基于交易产品的买、卖点差及/或交易手续费。Market(塞舌尔) Limited为 Zeal Group成员,是由塞舌尔金融服务局(FSA)授权及监管的证券经纪商,牌照号:SD027,公司地址:Suite C, Orion Mall, Palm Street, Victoria, Mahe, Seychelles。

Zeal Capital Market(Seychelles) Limited 是由塞舌尔金融服务管理局(FSA)授权及监管的证券经纪商,牌照号:SD027,公司地址:Office 1, Unit 3, 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? 1st Floor, Dekk Complex, Plaisance, Mahe, Seychelles。

Zeal Capital Market (UK) Limited 获英国金融行为监管局FCA(注册号码(FRN): 768451)授权从事特定金融活动及产品类型,包括代理投资交易、委托投资交易、安排并促进投资交易。公司地址:No. 1 Royal Exchange, London, EC3V 3DG, United Kingdom。

Do European stock markets reflect current lockdowns?

While all eyes are fixed (literally) on staying up all night to follow the 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? political situation across the pond, Europe continues to move in the wrong direction at a rapid pace in terms of Covid-19. With the virus now ‘running riot’, are equity markets pricing in the rising restrictive measures correctly?

There’s intense focus on the next evolution of the Covid situation in Europe and the potential crippling effect of new and prolonged national lockdowns on the growth outlook. Just when the reflation trade was gaining ground and consensus was looking forward to huge Biden-induced US stimulus, stock markets have instead been frightened. The German DAX finished October as one of the world’s worst performing equity markets, falling nearly 9.5%. Is there more downside to come?差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别?

Lockdown 2.0

In the last few weeks, politicians across 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? the bloc have started to tighten restrictions, keeping factories and construction open, while closing more service-oriented companies. These latest measures could lead to higher unemployment and 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? the permanent closure of many businesses despite new government support, not to mention even more national debt.

That said, new lockdowns do not mean everything is 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? closed with people more used to working from home and schools are staying open. This latter measure took a lot off GDP both directly and indirectly as parents had to take time off to look after children. But with the autumn and winter arriving in the Northern hemisphere, people are spending more time indoors which means the virus has better conditions to spread. Studies estimate transmission to be nearly 20 times greater indoors than outdoors, so despite the 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? restrictions, the number of new cases rising further is 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? highly likely. This has the potential to put 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? health services under huge pressure once more as hospitalisations surge.

European engines under pressure

GDP is set to be hit once more by the new measures. Estimates suggest French GDP looks set to decline by 3-4% in the fourth quarter, while Germany’s ‘light’ lockdown should result in a drop of at least 0.5% 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? quarter-on-quarter. Europe’s economic powerhouse has weathered the crisis relatively well to date in comparison with its European peers. In addition, China’s strong economic rebound should certainly help its export manufacturing sector which has outperformed the services industry.

Outlook well supported

Although some structural damage seems likely as second and third round effects begin to impact economies, a positive US election result may lift European equities in the short-term. Further out, bulls are hoping a deeper selloff is limited given the abundance of central bank and government support at hand, which should place a solid floor under 差价合约 (CFD) 和外汇保证金交易有何分别? markets. While a double-dip recession is increasingly being talked about, the hopes of a vaccine may also offset any prolonged selling as markets look to the new year.

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